Donald Trump now leads Joe Biden 49 per cent to 43 per cent among likely US voters, according to the NYT, a three-point improvement for Trump after Biden’s disastrous debate performance last week. As Biden fights for his political future, it’s worth noting a piece that outlines his opponent’s thinking on Nato. Politico reports that Trump is contemplating a deal over Ukraine, where Nato would rule out further eastward expansion, specifically into Ukraine and Georgia, and there would be negotiations with Vladimir Putin over how much occupied Ukrainian territory Russia could keep. The article also suggests that Trump’s team is considering a two-tier Nato system where countries who don’t meet the target of spending 2 per cent of GDP on defence “wouldn’t enjoy the defence largess” of the US. Trump has previously said he would encourage Russia to do “whatever the hell they want” to member countries that don’t meet spending targets.