Is ownership of the world’s oil and gas fields moving into the shadows? As activist and investor pressure grows on publicly listed energy companies like BP and Shell, restricting their ability to raise finance, private equity firms have been snapping up assets from Alaska to the North Sea.
Going private can free a business from the demands of having to explain a strategy to investors. Instead of facing market pressure to give cash back to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, a privately run oil business is free to gamble on exploration, no matter what that means for the climate.
An analysis of oil and gas deals over the past five years shows assets flowing from publicly listed to private hands at a significant rate. Deals tended to lead to weaker environmental oversight, according to the research published by the Environmental Defense Fund, a US advocacy group.
There were more than twice as many deals where assets moved away from operators with strong environmental commitments than the reverse, the study finds.
By the numbers:
But even in private markets, the longer-term trend appears to be a shift away from fossil fuels.
That’s partly a consequence of recent history: private capital helped drive the fracking boom in the US and many firms made heavy losses when an oil glut eight years ago brought crude prices crashing down and wiped out profits in the shale sector.
Some of private equity’s giants have since retreated from fossil fuels in favour of renewables.
Market forces are not the only factor. Private equity may feel like a shadowy world. But the money they deploy comes out of institutions like pension funds that are subject to social pressure. One private equity insider notes that university endowment managers have become increasingly conscious of how students will react to an investment decision.
Last month, an alliance of asset owners including Aviva and CalPERS, the biggest US pension fund, urged private equity groups to raise their level of climate ambition. Private equity should use their influence to set climate on the agenda of all companies, the asset owners said.
They urged private equity not to finance new oil investments “beyond those already committed by the end of 2021”.
The traditional private equity approach to a business is to turn its performance around and then sell on public markets at a favourable time. That’s harder to do with fossil fuels as the pool of publicly listed buyers shrinks. This is likely to lead to pressure from private equity firms to reduce emissions coming from the oil and gas businesses they run. Even in the more opaque world of private capital, there may ultimately be no hiding place for fossil fuels.
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