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#CopingWithCovid

thinkin

Open News Special Edition Covid: what we’ve learnt, and what next?

This is a digital-only ThinkIn. For our last Open News meetings of the year, Tortoise journalists and members, with expert contributors who’ve worked with us throughout 2021, will come together to take stock of what our reporters have uncovered about what’s driven the news this year, and what it has told us about the forces that are shaping our world. What have we learned? What questions remain unanswered, and what new ones have arisen? At Tortoise, we always said that we would stay interested when the rest of the news media moves on. This week we’re looking at Covid. Is the UK Government’s strategy making a difference and how does it compare to what’s going on Europe? As Austria, Germany, France, the Netherlands and Italy reintroduce restrictions from tougher social distancing to mandatory vaccinations, are the global vaccine donations being met? And what’s going on with our own vaccine supply – is it going to waste? editor and invited experts Lara Spirit Reporter Branko Brkic Editor in Chief, Daily Maverick, South Africa Caroline Lucas MP Brighton (Green) Joe Miller Frankfurt Correspondent at the Financial Times Roger Dennis Foresight and Strategy Consultant, Arms Race supporter

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Covid by Numbers, with David Spiegelhalter and Anthony Masters

This is a digital-only ThinkIn. David Spiegelhalter has been described as a “superstar statistician” and as “Britain’s statistical national treasure”. He joins Tortoise, alongside fellow statistician and co-author Anthony Masters, for a ThinkIn based around their new book Covid by Numbers. Together, they will debunk our longstanding Covid misconceptions and address major outstanding questions about how the pandemic has played out. Why have some countries been hit harder? What would have happened if the UK had locked down earlier? And how does the vaccine really impact transmission? You can order David and Anthony’s book here. editor and invited experts Lara Spirit Reporter Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication in the Centre for Mathematical Sciences at the University of Cambridge. His bestselling book, The Art of Statistics, has been published in 11 languages. Knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, he was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017-2018), and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020

thinkin

Post-pandemic business travel: is the end really nigh?

Five months after the World Health Organization declared that Covid-19 was no longer a health emergency, the disease is back in the news after a spike in cases and the emergence of new variants. The World Health Organization recorded 1.4 million new cases in August, a monthly rise of nearly 40 per cent. Experts are keeping their eye on three new variants. The latest is BA.2.86, nicknamed Pirola, which has been detected in over a dozen countries, including the UK. It was Pirola that was responsible for a recent Covid outbreak in a Norfolk care home. As of 4 September, there have been 34 cases of the variant detected in the UK. Pirola has raised concerns because it has 34 mutations, which may help it evade protections built up by vaccines and infections. It does appear to be highly infectious. But early studies show that it’s no more severe than other recent variants and that it’s not leading to higher hospitalisation rates. That said, the NHS is being cautious. It has brought forward its autumn booster programme, offering jabs to those over the age of 65, carers, healthcare workers and the clinically vulnerable. But some public health experts would like to see the booster given to more groups. Even if most healthy people only suffer a mild illness there are work and school days lost to Covid, as well as the risk of spreading the virus to someone more vulnerable. One possibility is to allow Brits in less vulnerable groups to pay for boosters, as many people do with the yearly flu jab. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention just recommended that its latest boosters be offered to everyone older than six months old.  This means that Americans will be able to pay for the jab this autumn, even if they’re not in a vulnerable group. That isn’t likely to be an option in the UK until at least next year.

thinkin

Covid and obesity: can we stop eating ourselves to death?

Public Health England data shows the risk of death from Covid-19 increased by 90% in people with a BMI (Body Mass Index) over 40, regardless of age. In lockdown, many of us have understandably turned to food for comfort – and it shows. The Department of Health and Social Care for England’s new obesity strategy outlines seven key measures to encourage us all to slim down – including more weight management services on the NHS, more calorie labelling and restrictions on the promotion of unhealthy foods on TV and in shops. But does this go far enough? Does the government’s new anti-obesity rhetoric whiff of fat-shaming and the nanny state? Given some campaigners argue that BMI is a useless and outdates measure of health and fitness anyway, is ‘getting tough on obesity’ just another way of avoiding tackling the root cause of people’s ill-health, namely social inequality? Is it time for a national food strategy, incorporating food-specific taxes to reinvest in education and improved access to nutrition? What, realistically, can or should be done to stop us eating ourselves to death?

thinkin

Niall Ferguson on DOOM: the politics of catastrophe

Five months after the World Health Organization declared that Covid-19 was no longer a health emergency, the disease is back in the news after a spike in cases and the emergence of new variants. The World Health Organization recorded 1.4 million new cases in August, a monthly rise of nearly 40 per cent. Experts are keeping their eye on three new variants. The latest is BA.2.86, nicknamed Pirola, which has been detected in over a dozen countries, including the UK. It was Pirola that was responsible for a recent Covid outbreak in a Norfolk care home. As of 4 September, there have been 34 cases of the variant detected in the UK. Pirola has raised concerns because it has 34 mutations, which may help it evade protections built up by vaccines and infections. It does appear to be highly infectious. But early studies show that it’s no more severe than other recent variants and that it’s not leading to higher hospitalisation rates. That said, the NHS is being cautious. It has brought forward its autumn booster programme, offering jabs to those over the age of 65, carers, healthcare workers and the clinically vulnerable. But some public health experts would like to see the booster given to more groups. Even if most healthy people only suffer a mild illness there are work and school days lost to Covid, as well as the risk of spreading the virus to someone more vulnerable. One possibility is to allow Brits in less vulnerable groups to pay for boosters, as many people do with the yearly flu jab. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention just recommended that its latest boosters be offered to everyone older than six months old.  This means that Americans will be able to pay for the jab this autumn, even if they’re not in a vulnerable group. That isn’t likely to be an option in the UK until at least next year.

thinkin

Sensemaker Live: why did Covid kill so few people in China?

Five months after the World Health Organization declared that Covid-19 was no longer a health emergency, the disease is back in the news after a spike in cases and the emergence of new variants. The World Health Organization recorded 1.4 million new cases in August, a monthly rise of nearly 40 per cent. Experts are keeping their eye on three new variants. The latest is BA.2.86, nicknamed Pirola, which has been detected in over a dozen countries, including the UK. It was Pirola that was responsible for a recent Covid outbreak in a Norfolk care home. As of 4 September, there have been 34 cases of the variant detected in the UK. Pirola has raised concerns because it has 34 mutations, which may help it evade protections built up by vaccines and infections. It does appear to be highly infectious. But early studies show that it’s no more severe than other recent variants and that it’s not leading to higher hospitalisation rates. That said, the NHS is being cautious. It has brought forward its autumn booster programme, offering jabs to those over the age of 65, carers, healthcare workers and the clinically vulnerable. But some public health experts would like to see the booster given to more groups. Even if most healthy people only suffer a mild illness there are work and school days lost to Covid, as well as the risk of spreading the virus to someone more vulnerable. One possibility is to allow Brits in less vulnerable groups to pay for boosters, as many people do with the yearly flu jab. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention just recommended that its latest boosters be offered to everyone older than six months old.  This means that Americans will be able to pay for the jab this autumn, even if they’re not in a vulnerable group. That isn’t likely to be an option in the UK until at least next year.

thinkin

Covid and obesity: can we stop eating ourselves to death?

Five months after the World Health Organization declared that Covid-19 was no longer a health emergency, the disease is back in the news after a spike in cases and the emergence of new variants. The World Health Organization recorded 1.4 million new cases in August, a monthly rise of nearly 40 per cent. Experts are keeping their eye on three new variants. The latest is BA.2.86, nicknamed Pirola, which has been detected in over a dozen countries, including the UK. It was Pirola that was responsible for a recent Covid outbreak in a Norfolk care home. As of 4 September, there have been 34 cases of the variant detected in the UK. Pirola has raised concerns because it has 34 mutations, which may help it evade protections built up by vaccines and infections. It does appear to be highly infectious. But early studies show that it’s no more severe than other recent variants and that it’s not leading to higher hospitalisation rates. That said, the NHS is being cautious. It has brought forward its autumn booster programme, offering jabs to those over the age of 65, carers, healthcare workers and the clinically vulnerable. But some public health experts would like to see the booster given to more groups. Even if most healthy people only suffer a mild illness there are work and school days lost to Covid, as well as the risk of spreading the virus to someone more vulnerable. One possibility is to allow Brits in less vulnerable groups to pay for boosters, as many people do with the yearly flu jab. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention just recommended that its latest boosters be offered to everyone older than six months old.  This means that Americans will be able to pay for the jab this autumn, even if they’re not in a vulnerable group. That isn’t likely to be an option in the UK until at least next year.

thinkin

Back to reality: how will going back to work work?

Five months after the World Health Organization declared that Covid-19 was no longer a health emergency, the disease is back in the news after a spike in cases and the emergence of new variants. The World Health Organization recorded 1.4 million new cases in August, a monthly rise of nearly 40 per cent. Experts are keeping their eye on three new variants. The latest is BA.2.86, nicknamed Pirola, which has been detected in over a dozen countries, including the UK. It was Pirola that was responsible for a recent Covid outbreak in a Norfolk care home. As of 4 September, there have been 34 cases of the variant detected in the UK. Pirola has raised concerns because it has 34 mutations, which may help it evade protections built up by vaccines and infections. It does appear to be highly infectious. But early studies show that it’s no more severe than other recent variants and that it’s not leading to higher hospitalisation rates. That said, the NHS is being cautious. It has brought forward its autumn booster programme, offering jabs to those over the age of 65, carers, healthcare workers and the clinically vulnerable. But some public health experts would like to see the booster given to more groups. Even if most healthy people only suffer a mild illness there are work and school days lost to Covid, as well as the risk of spreading the virus to someone more vulnerable. One possibility is to allow Brits in less vulnerable groups to pay for boosters, as many people do with the yearly flu jab. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention just recommended that its latest boosters be offered to everyone older than six months old.  This means that Americans will be able to pay for the jab this autumn, even if they’re not in a vulnerable group. That isn’t likely to be an option in the UK until at least next year.

thinkin

Whitty, Vallance and SAGE: have the scientists failed Britain?

Five months after the World Health Organization declared that Covid-19 was no longer a health emergency, the disease is back in the news after a spike in cases and the emergence of new variants. The World Health Organization recorded 1.4 million new cases in August, a monthly rise of nearly 40 per cent. Experts are keeping their eye on three new variants. The latest is BA.2.86, nicknamed Pirola, which has been detected in over a dozen countries, including the UK. It was Pirola that was responsible for a recent Covid outbreak in a Norfolk care home. As of 4 September, there have been 34 cases of the variant detected in the UK. Pirola has raised concerns because it has 34 mutations, which may help it evade protections built up by vaccines and infections. It does appear to be highly infectious. But early studies show that it’s no more severe than other recent variants and that it’s not leading to higher hospitalisation rates. That said, the NHS is being cautious. It has brought forward its autumn booster programme, offering jabs to those over the age of 65, carers, healthcare workers and the clinically vulnerable. But some public health experts would like to see the booster given to more groups. Even if most healthy people only suffer a mild illness there are work and school days lost to Covid, as well as the risk of spreading the virus to someone more vulnerable. One possibility is to allow Brits in less vulnerable groups to pay for boosters, as many people do with the yearly flu jab. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention just recommended that its latest boosters be offered to everyone older than six months old.  This means that Americans will be able to pay for the jab this autumn, even if they’re not in a vulnerable group. That isn’t likely to be an option in the UK until at least next year.